Market Trends

Last Updated on: 16 September 2011

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India's economy is showing signs of a slowdown in the face of the global debt crisis. With 11 interest rate increases in 18 months and growth slowing for the last five quarters, business confidence in India is declining along with a drop in consumer spending.

The Indian economy grew by 8.5 per cent in 2010 and is projected to grow by 8.2 per cent in 2011. According to the Indian Economic Advisory, the headline inflation rate will continue to be above nine per cent for most part of 2011.

Economy

Key Indicators

Sources:
www.economist.com (GDP Growth)
www.xe.com (Exchange rates)

Exchange Rate vs NZD INR 38 = NZD 1 (12 Sep 11)
Expected GDP Growth +8.2% for 2011
+7.8% for 2012
(IMF estimate

Outbound Travel

More than 12 million Indians travelled abroad in 2010, up from about three million in the mid-90s. The World Tourism Organisation estimates about 50 million Indians will be taking overseas holidays each year by 2020 (source: Financial Times).

Arrivals to New Zealand for year-end Dec 2011 were 4.2 per cent down on the same period in 2010.

Tourism New Zealand-led local activity and joint ventures with partners stimulated interest and demand for travel to New Zealand over the summer/autumn season. Indian travellers remain at the luxury end of the market, helping keep spend and yield high in this market.

At least two incentive groups travelled to New Zealand from India in 2011 helping increase visitors overall.

The Indian outbound travel market is expected to be $35-$40 billion over the next five years from the current $12 billion buoyed by a rapidly growing organised tourism market

Immigration New Zealand has opened its second office in India at the New Zealand embassy in Mumbai to align with growing outbound travel to New Zealand and expected growth in the next few years.

Airline Update

Capacity for Indian travellers coming to New Zealand via Hong Kong and Singapore continues to improve.

Air capacity from India to New Zealand achieved incremental growth with the addition of daily Jetstar flights to Auckland from Singapore and Air Asia X flights to Christchurch from Kuala Lumpur.

Competitor Activity

The Spanish Tourism Board had a marketing tie-up with the Bollywood movie 'Zindagi Na Mile Doobara' and Spain and its key cultural and tourist elements were highlighted well in the hit movie. Spain Tourism has also had a joint television marketing campaign running on a number of TV channels which showcased the stars.

The German National Tourist Office is working with selected tour operators on joint promotional activities aimed at increasing the visibility of Germany in India.

Tourism New South Wales is investing AUD 85,000 in two new campaigns to attract wealthy Indian visitors to Sydney and NSW for holiday experiences. It is running a major print advertorial and magazine campaign in collaboration with Mercury Travel, in key cities in India like Mumbai and Delhi.