RSS Feed

Market Update May 2010

Date Published: 1 June 2010

The early Easter break and volcanic ash cloud over Europe resulted in a dip in international visitor arrivals in April, with total arrivals down 4.0 per cent compared with April 2009.

Although much of this decrease can be attributed to the earlier Easter break and Australian school holidays, which saw larger number of visitors arrive in New Zealand in the last few days of March, last year's economic downturn is still impacting travel from long-haul markets.

Tourism New Zealand Chief Executive Kevin Bowler says reversing the downward trend in key long-haul markets including the US and China will be a priority this year.

Australia also remains a focus for Tourism New Zealand. Although visitor arrivals were up only 0.4 per cent in April, arrivals from our biggest market were up 10 per cent for the months of March and April combined compared with 2009.

Total visitor arrivals were up 2 per cent in March and April combined, compared with the same months last year.

Australia - Mth end: up 0.4%, Yr end: up 12.6%

Australia continues to perform strongly, with holiday arrivals up 22 per cent in the year ending April 2010.

Consumer confidence took a hit in May, falling back 7 per cent following interest rate rises by Australia's central bank and uncertainty in global financial markets. However, growth in demand for Australia's natural resources is fuelling the economy's strength and, despite the recent fall, confidence remains high. This economic strength is driving continued growth in outbound travel.

Joint venture activity with Regional Tourism Organisations will continue through until the end of June, showcasing the diversity of New Zealand's regions and what they have to offer in the winter season. Funding has been confirmed to continue this joint venture activity in 2010/11, and planning is underway to have regional campaigns in market again from July 2010.

Tourism New Zealand is running television advertising targeting winter holiday-makers for two weeks from 23 May, following on from earlier advertising bursts run in conjunction with the New Zealand Ski Marketing Network.

Kevin Bowler says feedback from the industry suggests we can expect another bumper ski season out of Australia, with bookings tracking above 2009 levels.

United Kingdom - Mth end: down 20.9%, Yr end: down 4.7%

Germany - Mth end: down 23.1%, Yr end: up 3.8%

Continuing economic uncertainty in the United Kingdom, disruptions caused by the volcanic ash cloud and the General Election in May all impacted travel from the UK in April, with the early Easter break further dragging down arrivals.

Arrivals from Germany also suffered as a result of Easter dates and flight disruptions, but the outlook for travel from this market remains more positive. Tourism New Zealand sees Germany - and its German speaking neighbours Switzerland and Austria - as offering opportunities for growth.

Combined visitor arrivals from Germany, Switzerland and Austria were up 4.7 per cent to 87,500 arrivals in the year ending April 2010. Tourism New Zealand will be channelling part of its NZD30 million Government funding boost into these markets in 2010/11.

Targeting the Youth Market
Kevin Bowler says Tourism New Zealand's current focus in the UK and Europe is on driving interest and bookings from backpackers as the end of the school and university year wraps up.

"May and June are key booking and travelling months for young travellers in the northern hemisphere. Tourism New Zealand will be running advertising online throughout June, targeting the UK, Germany and Netherlands," he says.

Current activity is building on the 'Go All the Way' backpacker campaign launched by Tourism New Zealand last September. The campaign website - www.goalltheway.to - has just been refreshed, showcasing 29 videos of backpackers' experiences in New Zealand and highlighting information specific to this sector.

The campaign website has had over 100,000 visits since it went live in January, mostly from the UK, Germany, Netherlands and the US. 'Go All the Way' videos have been viewed over 28,000 times on Tourism New Zealand's YouTube channel.

"Our next focus will be on building the 'Go All the Way' Facebook page into a community hub for backpackers thinking about a New Zealand holiday," says Kevin Bowler.

United States - Mth end: down 14.6%, Yr end: down 1.3%

The US is taking time to rebound from last years' economic downturn and that recovery is now coming under threat from the growing financial crisis in Europe.

While consumer confidence rose in May for the third consecutive month, commentators warn growth remains sluggish and unemployment is still high (9.9 per cent in April). There are fears that a debt crisis in Europe could reverse the growth trend.

However, Kevin Bowler says the US remains a key focus for Tourism New Zealand. An additional NZD15 million each is being channelled into the market by Tourism New Zealand and Air New Zealand this year, as part of a long-term marketing partnership between the two organisations.

New Zealand's appearance on hit reality TV show America's Next Top Model in April/May was one of the first major results from the partnership. More than 10 million viewers tuned in over three nights as New Zealand starred in the final three episodes of the show's latest series.

The market will get a further boost when Continental Airlines commences its new direct service between Houston and Auckland in November 2011.

China - Mth end: down 3.7%, Yr end: down 11.2%

The Chinese economy has returned to full strength after last year's dip and Chinese consumer confidence is expected to continue to grow in the coming year, which should boost travel to long-haul markets.

However, travel to New Zealand is yet to return to growth and it is difficult to predict the impact the Shanghai Expo will have on travel decisions in the short term.

Tourism New Zealand's newly launched 'Experience New Zealand Right Now' campaign in China is helping drive interest in New Zealand through a number of online channels.

'Experience New Zealand Right Now' advertising and video content has already featured on interactive television, office building screens and touch screens in taxis in Shanghai and Beijing, as well as on a number of websites.

All advertising and media placements are directing consumers through to www.newzealand.com/travel/china where they can download featured itineraries and link through to travel seller partners to purchase travel.

Japan - Mth end: down 12.3%, Yr end: down 17.6%

For the past two months Japanese arrivals have been in positive territory with January arrivals up 15.5 per cent on the same month last year and February up 0.9 per cent. This was the first time in many years we have seen successive months of growth.

Kevin Bowler says though March was looking good, the outlook for April and May could see flat to slight negative growth.

He added that the mood among agents at Kiwilink Japan in March was positive and optimistic and that had been reflected in recent arrival and booking patterns.

"Bookings are coming in later than normal, but tactical promotional activity done in February to promote autumn is definitely impacting on bookings in April and May."

South Korea - Mth end: up 34.9%, Yr end: down 13.7%

Kevin Bowler says South Korea was a bright spot in April, with arrivals up almost 35 per cent. Traditionally one of our most volatile markets, South Korea returned to growth in December 2009 following 19 months of decline.

Tourism New Zealand is running a joint promotion with Auckland International Airport through May and June, which should help maintain growth momentum.